Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.691087 3.930798 4.188627 4.488465 4.830059 5.210190 5.669638
2025-03-09 3.280134 3.590484 3.942301 4.376651 4.907375 5.547481 6.399360
2025-03-16 2.921888 3.261700 3.661972 4.179237 4.847924 5.712057 6.969563
2025-03-23 2.714073 3.086568 3.541883 4.157881 5.002899 6.182523 8.095805
2025-03-30 2.522939 2.912890 3.404352 4.095897 5.096437 6.599880 9.330900
2025-04-06 2.344239 2.739059 3.248998 3.990183 5.112722 6.916187 10.583386
2025-04-13 2.173377 2.561987 3.073208 3.834981 5.031331 7.063563 11.641905
2025-04-20 2.089163 2.492464 3.036551 3.876187 5.266444 7.840008 14.757618
2025-04-27 2.018688 2.435680 3.011880 3.932056 5.540185 8.811035 19.846788
2025-05-04 1.968879 2.403189 3.018438 4.037617 5.929633 10.243977 30.841132
2025-05-11 1.905502 2.346817 2.984345 4.072149 6.197206 11.580780 51.470014
2025-05-18 1.832464 2.271741 2.915564 4.038892 6.322565 12.645126 94.557377
2025-05-25 1.738294 2.166034 2.800078 3.926158 6.291347 13.368102 234.935605
2025-06-01 1.668596 2.092681 2.730440 3.889492 6.432381 14.940298 NaN
2025-06-08 1.587688 1.998494 2.621364 3.768472 6.350959 15.628716 NaN
2025-06-15 1.539947 1.951560 2.585259 3.781996 6.615386 18.462276 NaN
2025-06-22 1.488464 1.896131 2.531211 3.754502 6.772245 21.273347 NaN
2025-06-29 1.433408 1.832489 2.459259 3.683293 6.793091 23.478694 NaN
2025-07-06 1.374142 1.759761 2.367793 3.563319 6.645838 24.194032 NaN
2025-07-13 1.347252 1.736032 2.357861 3.611130 7.026196 32.025776 NaN
2025-07-20 1.323745 1.716298 2.353228 3.669908 7.476978 46.798454 NaN
2025-07-27 1.307709 1.707448 2.366805 3.771015 8.140069 93.277255 NaN
2025-08-03 1.283467 1.684142 2.352844 3.808153 8.597980 243.981539 NaN